Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.