Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.21%) and 3-1 (5.05%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.