/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fvitlog.png)
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Luuk de Jong
28'
-
Malik Tillman
30'
-
Andre Ramalho
37'
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Johan Bakayoko
53'
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Luuk de Jong
67'
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Hirving Lozano
90'+2'
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Gyan de Regt
44'
PSV Eindhoven vs Vitesse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F48%2Fpeter-bosz.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.22%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 8.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result
PSV Eindhoven
79.22%
▼
(-0.42)
Draw
12.71%
▲
(+0.24)
Vitesse
8.06%
▲
(+0.19)
Both Teams to Score:
55.01%
▼
(-0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5
73.25%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 2.5
26.75%
▲
(+0.60)
Over 3.5
52.83%
▼
(-0.76)
Under 3.5
47.17%
▲
(+0.76)
Over 4.5
33.39%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 4.5
66.61%
▲
(+0.73)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5
94.71%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 0.5
5.29%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 1.5
79.16%
▼
(-0.55)
Under 1.5
20.84%
▲
(+0.55)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5
58.08%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
41.92%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
21.63%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
78.37%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
PSV Eindhoven
79.22%
Draw
12.71%
Vitesse
8.06%
PSV Eindhoven
2-0
@
9.58%
▲
(+0.13)
3-0 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.33% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 6% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.04)
6-0 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.08)
6-1 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.07)
5-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 5.37%
Total : 79.22%
3-0 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.33% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.17)
4-1 @ 6% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.04)
6-0 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.08)
6-1 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.07)
5-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 5.37%
Total : 79.22%
Draw
1-1
@
5.67%
▲
(+0.14)
2-2 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 12.71%
2-2 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 12.71%
Vitesse
1-2
@
2.46%
▲
(+0.06)
0-1 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 8.06%
0-1 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 8.06%