AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
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Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
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PSV
Excelsior
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Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
Apr 25, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
PSV

Heerenveen
0 - 8
PSV

FT(HT: 0-5)
Til (7', 30'), Tillman (9', 11'), Veerman (44'), Bakayoko (52'), de Jong (71'), van Aanholt (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 0-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, April 14 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawPSV Eindhoven
16.21% (-0.511 -0.51)17.32% (-0.192 -0.19)66.47% (0.70699999999999 0.71)
Both teams to score 64.81% (-0.45700000000001 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.63% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)27.36% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.05% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)47.95% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (-0.592 -0.59)29.75% (0.594 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.18% (-0.72 -0.72)65.81% (0.724 0.72)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.26% (0.12899999999999 0.13)7.74% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.45% (0.32199999999999 0.32)27.55% (-0.318 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 16.21%
    PSV Eindhoven 66.47%
    Draw 17.32%
HeerenveenDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 4.33% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
1-0 @ 2.79% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.75% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 1.69% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 16.21%
1-1 @ 7.14% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-0 @ 2.3% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 17.32%
1-2 @ 9.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 7.79% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.54% (0.124 0.12)
0-3 @ 6.43% (0.145 0.15)
0-1 @ 5.89% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 4.99% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-3 @ 4.73% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-4 @ 4.11% (0.119 0.12)
2-4 @ 3.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.55% (0.048 0.05)
0-5 @ 2.1% (0.074 0.07)
2-5 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 1.22% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-6 @ 1.09% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 66.47%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs PSV

Heerenveen
4.2%
Draw
8.3%
PSV Eindhoven
87.5%
72
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 15
PSV
2-0
Heerenveen
Til (33'), Pepi (78')
Ramalho (42'), Pepi (82')

Walemark (90')
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
PSV
3-3
Heerenveen
Sangare (14'), De Jong (79'), Simons (86' pen.)
Mwene (65'), Ramalho (77'), Hazard (90+7')
Van Ewijk (33'), Colassin (45+1', 58')
Kohlert (71'), Bruma (85')
Oct 9, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 9
Heerenveen
0-1
PSV
Gakpo (75')
Feb 20, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 21
PSV
3-1
Heerenveen
Madueke (13'), Gotze (46'), Veerman (50')
Halilovic (36')
Nov 28, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
Heerenveen
1-1
PSV
Hajal (73')
Kaib (62')
Vinicius (13')
Gutierrez (67')