Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Apr 25, 2024 5.45pm
0
8
HT : 0 5
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • goal Guus Til 7'
  • goal Malik Tillman 9'
  • goal Malik Tillman 11'
  • goal Guus Til 30'
  • goal Joey Veerman 44'
  • goal Johan Bakayoko 52'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 71'
  • goal Patrick van Aanholt 83'

Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Apr 14, 2024 11.15am
Heracles 0 - 2 Heerenveen
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Pelle van Amersfoort

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 3.30pm
PSV 6 - 0 Vitesse
Goals scored
111
Top scorer
Luuk de Jong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result

Heerenveen 16.21% (-0.52)
Draw 17.32% (-0.20)
PSV Eindhoven 66.47% (+0.71)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.81% (-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5 72.63% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 27.36% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 52.05% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 47.95% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 32.65% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 67.35% (+0.08)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 70.25% (-0.60)
Under 0.5 29.75% (+0.60)
Over 1.5 34.18% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 65.81% (+0.73)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 92.26% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 7.74% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 72.45% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 27.55% (-0.32)

Score analysis

Heerenveen 16.21%
Draw 17.32%
PSV Eindhoven 66.47%
Heerenveen
2-1 @ 4.33% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 2.79% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 1.75% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 1.69% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 16.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.14% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 2.3% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 17.32%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 9.14% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 7.79% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 7.54% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 6.43% (+0.15)
0-1 @ 5.89% (+0.07)
1-4 @ 4.99% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 4.73% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 4.11% (+0.12)
2-4 @ 3.02% (-0.02)
1-5 @ 2.55% (+0.05)
0-5 @ 2.1% (+0.08)
2-5 @ 1.55% (+0.01)
3-4 @ 1.22% (-0.03)
1-6 @ 1.09% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 66.47%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2023 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Guus Til 33' goal
  • Andre Ramalho 42' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pepi 78' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrik Walemark 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ibrahim Sangare 14' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 79' goal
  • Xavi Simons 86' goal
  • goal Milan van Ewijk 33'
  • goal Antoine Colassin 45'+1'
  • goal Antoine Colassin 58'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Oct 9, 2022 3.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Cody Gakpo 75'
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 20, 2022 3.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Noni Madueke 13' goal
  • Mario Gotze 46' goal
  • Joey Veerman 50' goal
  • goal Tibor Halilovic 36'
Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Nov 28, 2021 3.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Rami Kaib 62' yellowcard
  • Rami Hajal 73' goal
  • goal Carlos Vinicius 13'
  • yellowcard Erick Gutierrez 67'
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
May 2, 2021 3.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Nick Viergever 38' yellowcard
  • Yorbe Vertessen 57' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 58' goal
  • Cody Gakpo 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodney Kongolo 22'
  • goal Tibor Halilovic 34'
  • goal Siem de Jong 59'
  • yellowcard Rein Smit 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Sherel Floranus 90'+6'