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Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 14, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Polman Stadion
Heerenveen

Heracles
0 - 2
Heerenveen


Vejinovic (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nunnely (9'), van Amersfoort (88')
Haye (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last Game: Sparta 1-2 Heracles
Saturday, April 6 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-3 Utrecht
Sunday, April 7 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 37.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.03%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawHeerenveen
37.99% (0.869 0.87)22.89% (0.09 0.09)39.13% (-0.958 -0.96)
Both teams to score 65.82% (-0.289 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.76% (-0.39699999999999 -0.4)35.24% (0.398 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.74% (-0.444 -0.44)57.26% (0.444 0.44)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (0.22699999999999 0.23)19.13% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.23% (0.375 0.38)50.77% (-0.374 -0.37)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (-0.586 -0.59)18.62% (0.587 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.09% (-0.995 -0.99)49.92% (0.997 1)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 37.99%
    Heerenveen 39.13%
    Draw 22.89%
HeraclesDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.128 0.13)
1-0 @ 5.89% (0.159 0.16)
2-0 @ 4.87% (0.165 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.52% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.8% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.055 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 37.99%
1-1 @ 9.9% (0.084 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.88% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.56% (0.071 0.07)
3-3 @ 2.13% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.89%
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.99% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-3 @ 3.86% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.62% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 39.13%

How you voted: Heracles vs Heerenveen

Heracles
57.1%
Draw
17.9%
Heerenveen
25.0%
28
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Mar 18, 2022 7pm
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Heerenveen
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Basacikoglu (66')
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Dec 4, 2021 8pm
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Jan 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 18
Heracles
1-0
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Quagliata (71')

Kaib (85')
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Dec 20, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 13
Heerenveen
1-2
Heracles
Veerman (57')
Burgzorg (6'), Knoester (48')
> Preview