Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 2
Aug 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))

Union SG
3 - 1
Beerschot VA

Eckert (2'), Mac Allister (42'), Puertas (83')
Mac Allister (24'), Khalaili (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Keita (48')
Keita (36'), Cagro (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Beerschot Wilrijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Dender 0-0 Union SG
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Beerschot Wilrijk

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Beerschot VA 0-0 Leuven
Saturday, July 27 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 20.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 1-0 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Beerschot Wilrijk win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawBeerschot Wilrijk
59.08% (0.040000000000006 0.04)20.5% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)20.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 61.01% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.21% (0.036999999999992 0.04)35.79% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.14% (0.042999999999999 0.04)57.86% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.1% (0.022000000000006 0.02)11.9% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.76% (0.048999999999999 0.05)37.24% (-0.052 -0.05)
Beerschot Wilrijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.75% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.01% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 59.08%
    Beerschot Wilrijk 20.42%
    Draw 20.5%
Union SGDrawBeerschot Wilrijk
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 4.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 59.08%
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.5%
1-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27%
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 20.42%

How you voted: Union SG vs Beerschot VA

Union SG
88.1%
Draw
9.5%
Beerschot Wilrijk
2.4%
42
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Union SG
5-0
Beerschot VA
Machida (70')
Bourdin (60')
Aug 7, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 2
Beerschot VA
0-3
Union SG

Noubissi (49'), Van den Bergh (90+4')
Undav (14', 50'), Lapoussin (54')
Teuma (43'), Kandouss (84'), Marcq (88')