Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Prague win with a probability of 40%. A win for Lille had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Prague win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Slavia Prague in this match.