Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Reims had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.