Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 17, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade Auguste-Delaune II

Reims
0 - 2
Lille

Atangana Edoa (46'), Kader Fofana (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Diakite (45+30'), David (90+3')
Ismaily (67'), Mukau (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reims

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Reims 3-1 Auxerre
Saturday, August 10 at 5.15pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-1 Lille
Tuesday, August 13 at 6pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Reims had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Reims	Draw	Lille
34.11% ( -0.67)	26.28% ( 0.5)	39.61% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 53.03% (

-1.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.41% (

-2.25)

51.59% (

2.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.62% (

-1.99)

73.38% (

1.99)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.24% (

-1.5)

28.76% (

1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.4% (

-1.91)

64.6% (

1.91)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.43% (

-0.93)

25.56% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.57% (

-1.29)

60.43% (

1.29)

Score Analysis

Reims 34.11%

Lille 39.61%

Draw 26.27%

Reims	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.11%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.64) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.61%