Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Reims had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.