Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38%. A win for Lens had a probability of 37.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Lens |
| 38% ( | 24.52% ( | 37.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.63% ( | 43.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.24% ( | 65.76% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( | 22.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.64% ( | 56.36% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( | 22.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.24% ( | 56.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Lens |
| 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 4-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 3-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0-3 @ 2.77% ( 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.48% |