/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Flenlog_2.png)
-
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
1'
-
Pape Gueye
41'
-
Leonardo Balerdi
63'
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Pape Gueye
85'
-
Kevin Danso
54'
-
Elye Wahi
64'
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Wesley Said
77'
Marseille vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F16%2Faubameyang.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result
Marseille
44.93%
▲
(+0.33)
Draw
25.2%
▼
(-0.01)
Lens
29.87%
▼
(-0.33)
Both Teams to Score:
54.96%
▼
(-0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.64%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
48.36%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
29.5%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 3.5
70.5%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 4.5
14.32%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
85.67%
▲
(+0.09)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
78.47%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 0.5
21.53%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 1.5
45.4%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 1.5
54.59%
▼
(-0.15)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5
70.04%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 0.5
29.96%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 1.5
33.93%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
66.07%
▲
(+0.35)
Score analysis
Marseille
44.93%
Draw
25.2%
Lens
29.87%
Marseille
1-0
@
9.91%
▲
(+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.93%
2-1 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.93%
Draw
1-1
@
11.94%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.2%
0-0 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.2%
Lens
0-1
@
7.78%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 29.87%
1-2 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 29.87%