Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

May 4, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
2 - 3
Rennes

Mikautadze (17'), Diallo (45')
Traore (71'), Herelle (75'), Kalimuendo (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Gouiri (23'), Bourigeaud (73' pen.), Kalimuendo (90+3')
Truffert (44'), Theate (75'), Kalimuendo (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Metz 1-2 Lille
Sunday, April 28 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 4-5 Brest
Sunday, April 28 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Metz had a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Rennes
24.48% ( 0.18)	24.95% ( 0.16)	50.56% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 51.46% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.06% (

-0.49)

50.94% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.19% (

-0.43)

72.81% (

0.43)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.45% (

-0.11)

35.55% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.68% (

-0.12)

72.31% (

0.11)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.84% (

-0.34)

20.15% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.56% (

-0.53)

52.43% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Metz 24.48%

Rennes 50.56%

Draw 24.94%

Metz	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 24.48%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.94%	0-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.56%