Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

May 3, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
2 - 0
Lorient

Wahi (57'), Costa (81')
Wahi (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bakayoko (20'), Bakayoko (20'), Katseris (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Lens
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Lorient
63.21% ( -0.34)	20.09% ( 0.03)	16.69% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 55.16% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.9% (

0.45)

40.1% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.53% (

0.46)

62.47% (

-0.46)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.92% (

0.04)

12.08% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.38% (

0.09)

37.62% (

-0.09)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.74% (

0.65)

37.26% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.95% (

0.64)

74.04% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Lens 63.21%

Lorient 16.69%

Draw 20.09%

Lens	Draw	Lorient
2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 63.21%	1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.09%	1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.28% Total : 16.69%