Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31

Apr 28, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Lorient
1 - 2
Toulouse

Ponceau (19')
Adjei (31')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dallinga (59'), Cissoko (83')
Diarra (38'), Aboukhlal (51'), Sierro (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 1-4 PSG
Wednesday, April 24 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Marseille
Sunday, April 21 at 6.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toulouse in this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Toulouse
26.55% ( 0.27)	23.95% ( 0.02)	49.5% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 56.68% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55% (

0.11)

45% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.65% (

0.1)

67.35% (

-0.11)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.34% (

0.27)

30.66% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.1% (

0.31)

66.9% (

-0.32)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.74% (

-0.08)

18.26% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.68% (

-0.13)

49.32% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Lorient 26.55%

Toulouse 49.5%

Draw 23.94%

Lorient	Draw	Toulouse
2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.97% Total : 26.55%	1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.94%	1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 49.5%