Ligue 1
Gameweek
31
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-
Julien Ponceau
19'
-
Nathaniel Adjei
31'
-
Moussa Diarra
38'
-
Zakaria Aboukhlal
51'
-
Thijs Dallinga
59'
-
Ibrahim Cissoko
83'
-
Vincent Sierro
87'
Lorient vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toulouse in this match.
Result
Lorient
26.55%
▲
(+0.27)
Draw
23.95%
▲
(+0.03)
Toulouse
49.5%
▼
(-0.30)
Both Teams to Score:
56.68%
▲
(+0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5
55%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
45%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 3.5
32.65%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
67.35%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
16.54%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
83.46%
▼
(-0.08)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5
69.34%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 0.5
30.66%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 1.5
33.1%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 1.5
66.9%
▼
(-0.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5
81.74%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
18.26%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
50.68%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
49.32%
▲
(+0.13)
Score analysis
Lorient
26.55%
Draw
23.94%
Toulouse
49.5%
Lorient
2-1
@
6.65%
▲
(+0.06)
1-0 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 26.55%
1-0 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 26.55%
Draw
1-1
@
11.25%
2-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.94%
2-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.94%
Toulouse
1-2
@
9.57%
▼
(-0.02)
0-1 @ 9.52% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 49.5%
0-1 @ 9.52% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 49.5%