Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.