Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Clermont win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 28.14% ( | 24.21% ( | 47.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.97% ( | 45.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.62% ( | 67.38% ( |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( | 29.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% ( | 65.5% ( |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% ( | 19.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.43% ( | 50.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-1 @ 6.94% ( 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 2-0 @ 4.18% ( 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 3-0 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 28.14% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0-2 @ 7.73% ( 1-3 @ 5.22% ( 0-3 @ 4.28% ( 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 2-4 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 47.65% |