Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Clermont win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
28.14% ( 0.58) | 24.21% ( 0.14) | 47.65% ( -0.72) |
Both teams to score 57.11% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.97% ( -0.21) | 45.03% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.62% ( -0.2) | 67.38% ( 0.2) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.51% ( 0.31) | 29.49% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.5% ( 0.38) | 65.5% ( -0.38) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.99% ( -0.37) | 19.01% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.43% ( -0.62) | 50.57% ( 0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.31% Total : 28.14% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.24% Total : 47.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |