Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Reims in this match.