Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw has a probability of 19% and a win for Lorient has a probability of 14.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Lorient win it is 1-2 (4.05%).
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
66.8% ( 1.03) | 18.95% ( -0.39) | 14.24% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 53.11% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.14% ( 0.37) | 39.85% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.79% ( 0.39) | 62.21% ( -0.39) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.95% ( 0.38) | 11.05% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.62% ( 0.83) | 35.38% ( -0.83) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.71% ( -0.66) | 40.29% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.08% ( -0.6) | 76.92% ( 0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
2-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.14% Total : 66.8% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.95% | 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.72% Total : 14.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |