Europa League
May 2, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Chancel Mbemba 20' goal
  • Leonardo Balerdi 68' yellowcard
  • goal Gianluca Scamacca 11'

Marseille vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Marseille 35.96% (-0.08)
Draw 25.29% (-0.02)
Atalanta BC 38.75% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.66% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.96% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 47.04% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 30.72% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 69.28% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 15.17% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 84.83% (-0.04)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 74.52% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 25.48% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 39.68% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 60.32% (+0.02)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 76.04% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 23.96% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 41.81% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 58.19% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Marseille 35.96%
Draw 25.28%
Atalanta BC 38.75%
Marseille
1-0 @ 8.35% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 35.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.83% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.28%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.52% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.23% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.06% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.97% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 38.75%