Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

Apr 28, 2024 at 5pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
2 - 0
Empoli

Pasalic (42' pen.), Lookman (51')
Scalvini (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Luperto (24'), Kovalenko (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 4-1 Fiorentina
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Napoli
Saturday, April 20 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Empoli
68.37% ( -0.02)	18.6% ( 0)	13.03% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.88% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.94% (

0.01)

41.06% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.55% (

0.01)

63.45% (

-0.01)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.02% (

-0)

10.98% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.77% (

-0.01)

35.23% (

0.01)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.15% (

0.02)

42.84% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.84% (

0.02)

79.16% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 68.36%

Empoli 13.03%

Draw 18.6%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Empoli
2-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.17% 4-0 @ 4.67% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.06% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 4% Total : 68.36%	1-1 @ 8.81% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 18.6%	0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.4% Total : 13.03%