/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fleclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Femplog.png)
-
Pontus Almqvist
45'+2'
-
Nicola Sansone
89'
-
Alberto Cerri
5'
-
Emmanuel Gyasi
90'
Lecce vs Empoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F46%2Flecce_1.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.
Result
Lecce
41.5%
▲
(+0.39)
Draw
26.46%
▲
(+0.09)
Empoli
32.04%
▼
(-0.47)
Both Teams to Score:
51.86%
▼
(-0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.17%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 2.5
52.82%
▲
(+0.48)
Over 3.5
25.55%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 3.5
74.45%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 4.5
11.71%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 4.5
88.29%
▲
(+0.27)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5
74.87%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
25.13%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
40.16%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
59.84%
▲
(+0.03)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5
69.27%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 0.5
30.73%
▲
(+0.56)
Over 1.5
33.02%
▼
(-0.66)
Under 1.5
66.98%
▲
(+0.67)
Score analysis
Lecce
41.49%
Draw
26.46%
Empoli
32.04%
Lecce
1-0
@
10.66%
▲
(+0.19)
2-1 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.49%
2-1 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.49%
Draw
1-1
@
12.58%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.46%
0-0 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.46%
Empoli
0-1
@
9.11%
▲
(+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.04%
1-2 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.04%