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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Empoli logo

Lecce
1 - 0
Empoli

Sansone (89')
Almqvist (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gyasi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
Saturday, April 6 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 3-2 Torino
Saturday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-1 Empoli

This game is a close one to call. The home side are struggling to find the back of the net on their turf, while Empoli just ended a four-game run without scoring before last weekend's win over Torino. However, the away side's penchant for netting late goals means they always carry a threat, and Nicola's men should nick maximum points against a team that go into this weekend on the back of firing six blanks in eight league gameweeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
LecceDrawEmpoli
41.5% (0.382 0.38) 26.46% (0.086000000000002 0.09) 32.04% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 51.86% (-0.427 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17% (-0.47600000000001 -0.48)52.82% (0.478 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55% (-0.407 -0.41)74.45% (0.41199999999999 0.41)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)25.13% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.16% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)59.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (-0.551 -0.55)30.73% (0.556 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (-0.657 -0.66)66.98% (0.661 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.49%
    Empoli 32.04%
    Draw 26.46%
LecceDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.36% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 4% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.49%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.145 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.11% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.04%

How you voted: Lecce vs Empoli

Lecce
37.0%
Draw
40.7%
Empoli
22.2%
27
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Empoli
1-1
Lecce
Rafia (71' og.)
Maleh (37'), Grassi (51')
Banda (64')
Gonzalez (4'), D'Aversa (68'), Ramadani (75')
Apr 3, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 28
Empoli
1-0
Lecce
Caputo (62' pen.)
Aug 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lecce
1-1
Empoli
Espeto (40')
Banda (34')
Parisi (23')
Marin (27'), Stojanovic (57')
May 10, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 38
Empoli
2-1
Lecce
La Mantia (51'), Matos (68')
Haas (39'), Parisi (63'), Olivieri (84')
Rodriguez (24')
Meccariello (10'), Pisacane (42')
Jan 24, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 19
Lecce
2-2
Empoli
Mancosu (79'), Rodriguez (90')
Nikolov (5'), Tachtsidis (46'), Mancosu (90+3')
Haas (33'), La Mantia (47')
Parisi (41'), Haas (66'), Matos (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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