Europa League

Europa League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

May 9, 2024 at 8pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
3 - 0
Marseille

(Atalanta BC win 4-1 on aggregate)

Lookman (30'), Ruggeri (52'), Bilal Toure (90+5')
Ederson (47'), de Roon (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Atalanta BC book their spot in the Europa League final courtesy of a 3-0 win over Marseille in the second leg of their semi-final in Italy.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Atalanta BC and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Atalanta
Monday, May 6 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Atalanta
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 51.28%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Marseille
51.28% ( -0)	23.83%	24.88%

Both teams to score 55.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.1%

45.9% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.79%

68.21% (

-0)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.08% (

-0)

17.92% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.27% (

-0)

48.73% (

-0)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.53%

32.47% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31%	68.99% ( -0)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 51.27%

Marseille 24.89%

Draw 23.83%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 8.6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-0 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.57% Total : 51.27%	1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.83%	0-1 @ 6.55% 1-2 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 3.68% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.54% Total : 24.89%