Europa League
May 9, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Ademola Lookman 30' goal
  • Ederson 47' yellowcard
  • Matteo Ruggeri 52' goal
  • Marten de Roon 63' yellowcard
  • El Bilal Toure 90'+5' goal

Atalanta BC vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
May 2, 2024 8.00pm
Marseille 1 - 1 Atalanta

Marseille

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
May 2, 2024 8.00pm
Marseille 1 - 1 Atalanta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 51.28%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result

Atalanta BC 51.28% (-0.01)
Draw 23.83%
Marseille 24.88%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.43%

Goals

Over 2.5 54.1%
Under 2.5 45.9% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 31.79%
Under 3.5 68.21% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 15.92%
Under 4.5 84.07% (-0.01)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 82.08% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.92% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 51.27% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 48.73% (-0.01)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 67.53%
Under 0.5 32.47% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31%
Under 1.5 68.99% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 51.27%
Draw 23.83%
Marseille 24.89%
Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 8.6% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.54%
3-0 @ 4.93%
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 51.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25%
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.83%
Marseille
0-1 @ 6.55%
1-2 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 3.68%
1-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 24.89%

Head to Head

Europa League
May 2, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Chancel Mbemba 20' goal
  • Leonardo Balerdi 68' yellowcard
  • goal Gianluca Scamacca 11'