Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 6, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
1 - 2
Atalanta

Tchaouna (18')
Pasalidis (45'), Pasalidis (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Scamacca (57'), Koopmeiners (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Frosinone 3-0 Salernitana
Friday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Atalanta
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Atalanta BC
20.17% ( 1.06)	22.88% ( 1.01)	56.95% ( -2.07)

Both teams to score 52.38% (

-1.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.02% (

-2.89)

46.99% (

2.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.77% (

-2.75)

69.23% (

2.75)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.55% (

-0.55)

37.45% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.77% (

-0.54)

74.23% (

0.55)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.74% (

-1.67)

16.27% (

1.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.2% (

-3.12)

45.81% (

3.13)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 20.17%

Atalanta BC 56.94%

Draw 22.87%

Salernitana	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.62% Total : 20.17%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.53) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.87%	0-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.7) 0-2 @ 10.04% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 6.08% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 5.97% ( -0.41) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.32) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.36) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.2) 0-5 @ 1% ( -0.18) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.94%