Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

Apr 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Frosinone
3 - 0
Salernitana

Soule (10' pen.), Brescianini (25'), Zortea (85')
Zortea (41'), Mazzitelli (50')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sambia (9'), Pierozzi (36')

The Match

Match Report

Salernitana are relegated from Serie A owing to a 3-0 loss at Frosinone, ending their three-year stay in the top flight of Italian football.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Frosinone

All competitions

Last Game: Torino 0-0 Frosinone
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Salernitana
60.42% ( -0.31)	21.04% ( 0.08)	18.54% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 55.64% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73% (

0.04)

41.27% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.33% (

0.04)

63.67% (

-0.04)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.75% (

-0.08)

13.25% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.98% (

-0.16)

40.02% (

0.16)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.14% (

0.29)

35.86% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.36% (

0.29)

72.64% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 60.42%

Salernitana 18.54%

Draw 21.04%

Frosinone	Draw	Salernitana
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.33% Total : 60.42%	1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.04%	1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 18.54%