Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Sep 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
1 - 3
PSG

Zhegrova (78')
Alexsandro (31'), Mukau (47'), Diakite (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Vitinha (33' pen.), Barcola (36'), Kolo (90+2')
Beraldo (24'), Donnarumma (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Slavia Prague 2-1 Lille
Wednesday, August 28 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 6-0 Montpellier
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Lille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
31.67% ( 0.12)	23.98% ( 0.05)	44.35% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 60.07% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.92% (

-0.19)

42.07% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.52% (

-0.19)

64.47% (

0.18)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

-0.02)

25.65% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.45% (

-0.02)

60.54% (

0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.8% (

-0.15)

19.19% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.12% (

-0.25)

50.88% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Lille 31.67%

Paris Saint-Germain 44.35%

Draw 23.97%

Lille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.67%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.97%	1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 44.35%