Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Oceane
PSG logo

Le Havre
1 - 4
PSG

Lloris (48')
Youte Kinkoue (15'), Joujou (45+3'), Lloris (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kang-in (3'), Dembele (85'), Barcola (86'), Kolo (90' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 0-6 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 PSG
Saturday, August 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 61.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 18.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 0-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Le Havre win it was 2-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Le HavreDrawParis Saint-Germain
18.35% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)20.13% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)61.51% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 58.57% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.72% (-0.055 -0.05)37.27% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.51% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)59.48% (0.058 0.06)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-0.108 -0.11)33.67% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67% (-0.117 -0.12)70.32% (0.114 0.11)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.3% (0.0040000000000049 0)11.69% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.2% (0.013000000000005 0.01)36.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 18.36%
    Paris Saint-Germain 61.51%
    Draw 20.13%
Le HavreDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 2.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.82% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 18.36%
1-1 @ 9.2%
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.13%
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 9.07% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.45% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 6.49% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.84% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 3.48% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.06% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 61.51%

How you voted: Le Havre vs PSG

Le Havre
11.4%
Draw
9.1%
Paris Saint-Germain
79.5%
88
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 31
PSG
3-3
Le Havre
Barcola (29'), Hakimi (78'), Ramos (90+5')
Zaire-Emery (74'), Mbappe (90+3')
Operi (19'), Ayew (38'), Toure (61' pen.)
Sangante (90+7')
Dec 3, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 14
Le Havre
0-2
PSG

Operi (68'), Alioui (76')
Mbappe (23'), Vitinha (89')
Pereira (87')
Donnarumma (10')
Jul 21, 2023 4pm
Club Friendlies
PSG
2-0
Le Havre
Ekitike (53'), Mbappe (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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