Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 19.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 0-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 2-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
19.55% ( 1.31)	21.09% ( 0.53)	59.35% ( -1.84)

Both teams to score 57.33% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.08% (

-0.39)

39.92% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.72% (

-0.4)

62.28% (

0.4)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66% (

1.15)

34% (

-1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.31% (

1.21)

70.68% (

-1.22)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.87% (

-0.66)

13.13% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.21% (

-1.35)

39.78% (

1.34)

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 19.55%

Paris Saint-Germain 59.35%

Draw 21.09%

Sturm Graz	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.55%	1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.09%	1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 6.72% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.41% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.27) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.52% Total : 59.35%