LASK
Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
May 12, 2024 at 4pm UK
TGW Arena

LASK
2 - 2
Sturm Graz

Flecker (20'), Ljubicic (76' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kiteishvili (30', 48')
Prass (44'), Kiteishvili (57'), Lavalee (75')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between LASK Linz and Sturm Graz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austria Klagenfurt 0-2 LASK
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-1 Hartberg
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for LASK Linz had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest LASK Linz win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
LASK LinzDrawSturm Graz
36.11% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)26.77% (0.012999999999998 0.01)37.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.65% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.56% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)53.44% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.03% (-0.052 -0.05)74.97% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
LASK Linz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.57% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)28.43% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.82% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)64.19% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)27.83% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)63.43% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Score Analysis
    LASK Linz 36.11%
    Sturm Graz 37.11%
    Draw 26.76%
LASK LinzDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 36.11%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 10.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.11%

How you voted: LASK vs Sturm Graz

LASK Linz
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Sturm Graz
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Sturm Graz
1-0
LASK
Prass (20')
Affengruber (70')

Usor (35'), Jovicic (86')
Nov 5, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 13
LASK
3-1
Sturm Graz
Usor (36'), Stojkovic (45+1'), Zulj (90+1')
Bello (3'), Zulj (17'), Horvath (35'), Stojkovic (58'), Mustapha (90+3')
Wlodarczyk (60')
Ilzer (9'), Prass (29'), Teixeira (54'), Johnston (90+6')
Aug 5, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
Sturm Graz
2-0
LASK
Horvat (27'), Wlodarczyk (77')
Kiteishvili (45+1')

Ljubic (38'), Stojkovic (73'), Mustapha (76')