Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.