Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Mar 10, 2024 at 4pm UK
PROfertil ARENA

Hartberg
1 - 1
Sturm Graz

Avdijaj (70')
Sallinger (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boving (29')
Schnegg (57'), Lavalee (64'), Johnston (65')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Hartberg and Sturm Graz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swarovski 1-0 Hartberg
Sunday, March 3 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-3 Lille
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 59.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hartberg had a probability of 18.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Hartberg win it was 1-0 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
HartbergDrawSturm Graz
18.36% (0.073999999999998 0.07)22.31% (0.023 0.02)59.34% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Both teams to score 51.1% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.86% (0.012 0.01)47.14% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.63% (0.012 0.01)69.38% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Hartberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.49% (0.091999999999999 0.09)39.52% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.8% (0.085000000000001 0.09)76.21% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)15.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.58% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)44.43% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hartberg 18.36%
    Sturm Graz 59.33%
    Draw 22.3%
HartbergDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 5.69% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.92% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.64% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.52% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.36%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.3%
0-1 @ 11.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 10.64% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-3 @ 6.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 59.33%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 11
Sturm Graz
2-1
Hartberg
Jatta (13'), Prass (42')
Ilzer (17'), Kiteishvili (61'), Serrano (90+3')
Lang (4')
Heil (16'), Prokop (72'), Sangare (73'), Kainz (90+3')