Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 59.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hartberg had a probability of 18.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Hartberg win it was 1-0 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.