UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Feb 22, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stadion Pasienky

Slovan Bratislava
0 - 1
Sturm Graz

(Sturm Graz win 5-1 on aggregate)

Strelec (45+4'), Kashia (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Biereth (52')
Lavalee (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Slovan Bratislava and Sturm Graz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovan Bratislava

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 4-1 Zlate Moravce
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Slovak First Football League

Goals
for

Sturm Graz

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-1 Rapid Vienna
Sunday, February 18 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Slovan Bratislava	Draw	Sturm Graz
37.55% ( 0.12)	24.95% ( 0.01)	37.5% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 57.94% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.57% (

-0.04)

45.42% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.24% (

-0.04)

67.76% (

0.03)

Slovan Bratislava Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.13% (

0.05)

23.86% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.94% (

0.07)

58.06% (

-0.07)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.1% (

-0.09)

23.89% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.9% (

-0.12)

58.1% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Slovan Bratislava 37.55%

Sturm Graz 37.5%

Draw 24.95%

Slovan Bratislava	Draw	Sturm Graz
2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.55%	1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.95%	1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.5%