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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Merkur Arena
Slovan Bratislava

Sturm Graz
4 - 1
Slovan Bratislava

Biereth (4'), Gorenc Stankovic (27'), Kiteishvili (64' pen.), Camara (90+1')
Gazibegovic (77')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rodrigues (8')
Zmrhal (44'), Rodrigues (77')
j. Weiss (78'), Weiss (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Sturm Graz and Slovan Bratislava, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Last Game: Salzburg 1-1 Sturm Graz
Friday, February 9 at 7.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Slovan Bratislava

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zilina 0-4 Slovan Bratislava
Friday, February 9 at 4.30pm in Slovak First Football League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 52.09%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawSlovan Bratislava
52.09% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)22.95% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)24.96% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.14% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)41.86% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.74% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)64.26% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.87% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)16.13% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.44% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Slovan Bratislava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77% (0.010999999999996 0.01)30.23% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6% (0.011000000000003 0.01)66.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 52.09%
    Slovan Bratislava 24.96%
    Draw 22.94%
Sturm GrazDrawSlovan Bratislava
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 52.09%
1-1 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 5.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 24.96%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Slovan Bratislava

Sturm Graz
40.0%
Draw
17.1%
Slovan Bratislava
42.9%
70