Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 18

Feb 9, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

Salzburg
1 - 1
Sturm Graz

Ratkov (15')
Diambou (33'), Fernando (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kiteishvili (80')
Schnegg (90+1')

Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Sturm Graz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

Austrian Bundesliga

Last Game: Salzburg 1-3 Benfica
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sturm Graz

All competitions

Austrian Bundesliga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Sturm Graz
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Sturm Graz
46.32% ( 0.91)	24.99% ( -0.2)	28.69% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 54.89% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.88% (

0.51)

48.12% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.72% (

0.47)

70.28% (

-0.46)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.19% (

0.61)

20.82% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.52% (

0.95)

53.49% (

-0.94)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.32% (

-0.24)

30.68% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.07% (

-0.29)

66.94% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 46.31%

Sturm Graz 28.69%

Draw 24.99%

Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.31%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.69%