Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Wolfsberger win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.