Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Nov 25, 2023 at 4pm UK

Red Bull Arena

Salzburg
3 - 2
Hartberg

Ratkov (45+4'), Gluh (48'), Dorgeles (85')
Bidstrup (14'), Dedic (45+6'), Pavlovic (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bowat (11'), Diakite (56')
Entrup (64'), Sangare (90+2')

Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Hartberg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

Austrian Bundesliga

Last Game: Austria Vienna 0-0 Salzburg
Sunday, November 12 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

Hartberg

All competitions

Last Game: Hartberg 1-0 Rapid Vienna
Saturday, November 11 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.

Result
Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Hartberg
45.17% ( 0)	24.65% ( 0.03)	30.18% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 56.96% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.18% (

-0.17)

45.82% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.86% (

-0.16)

68.13% (

0.16)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.63% (

-0.07)

20.37% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.22% (

-0.11)

52.78% (

0.11)

Hartberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.53% (

-0.11)

28.46% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.77% (

-0.14)

64.23% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 45.17%

Hartberg 30.18%

Draw 24.64%

Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Hartberg
1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.22% 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.17%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.64%	0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 30.18%