Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.