Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 7, 2023 at 4pm UK
PROfertil ARENA

Hartberg
3 - 0
Swarovski

Lang (58'), Providence (75'), Fillafer (90+2')
Providence (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Taferner (52'), Naschberger (79')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Hartberg and WSG Swarovski Tirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hartberg 0-0 Rheindorf Altach
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-0 Swarovski
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a WSG Swarovski Tirol win with a probability of 56.6%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 21.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a WSG Swarovski Tirol win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 2-1 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
HartbergDrawWSG Swarovski Tirol
21.79% (0.192 0.19)21.61% (0.010000000000002 0.01)56.6% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)
Both teams to score 59.14% (0.248 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.8% (0.19600000000001 0.2)39.19% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.47% (0.206 0.21)61.52% (-0.208 -0.21)
Hartberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54% (0.285 0.28)31.45% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.16% (0.328 0.33)67.83% (-0.33 -0.33)
WSG Swarovski Tirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)13.72% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.02% (0.0049999999999955 0)40.97% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hartberg 21.79%
    WSG Swarovski Tirol 56.6%
    Draw 21.61%
HartbergDrawWSG Swarovski Tirol
2-1 @ 5.73% (0.037 0.04)
1-0 @ 4.99% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.89% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.21% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.11% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 21.79%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.32% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.57% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8.51% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 6.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.64% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.77% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.8% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.87% (0.013 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 56.6%