Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartberg win with a probability of 76.4%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Austria Lustenau had a probability of 9.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartberg win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.11%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.38%), while for an Austria Lustenau win it was 2-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartberg would win this match.