Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Planet Pure Stadion

Austria Lustenau
0 - 4
Hartberg


Gmeiner (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Avdijaj (36'), Frieser (59'), Entrup (66', 83')
Avdijaj (37'), Pfeifer (39'), Entrup (67')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Austria Lustenau and Hartberg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: BW Linz 0-0 Austria Lustenau
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-1 Hartberg
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartberg win with a probability of 76.4%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Austria Lustenau had a probability of 9.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartberg win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.11%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.38%), while for an Austria Lustenau win it was 2-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartberg would win this match.

Result
Austria LustenauDrawHartberg
9.44% (0.9391 0.94)14.15% (1.094 1.09)76.4% (-2.04 -2.04)
Both teams to score 55.2% (-0.482 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.59% (-2.473 -2.47)29.4% (2.464 2.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.53% (-3.066 -3.07)50.46% (3.057 3.06)
Austria Lustenau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.92% (0.034999999999997 0.03)41.07% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.38% (0.029999999999998 0.03)77.61% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Hartberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.66% (-0.88 -0.88)6.33% (0.872 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.2% (-2.476 -2.48)23.8% (2.469 2.47)
Score Analysis
    Austria Lustenau 9.44%
    Hartberg 76.4%
    Draw 14.15%
Austria LustenauDrawHartberg
2-1 @ 2.84% (0.263 0.26)
1-0 @ 2.31% (0.319 0.32)
3-2 @ 1.16% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 1.03% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 9.44%
1-1 @ 6.38% (0.584 0.58)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.172 0.17)
0-0 @ 2.6% (0.356 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 14.15%
0-2 @ 9.9% (0.413 0.41)
0-3 @ 9.11% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.377 0.38)
1-3 @ 8.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.649 0.65)
0-4 @ 6.29% (-0.402 -0.4)
1-4 @ 5.59% (-0.351 -0.35)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-5 @ 3.47% (-0.421 -0.42)
1-5 @ 3.09% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-4 @ 2.49% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-6 @ 1.6% (-0.289 -0.29)
1-6 @ 1.42% (-0.256 -0.26)
2-5 @ 1.37% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 76.4%

Head to Head
Jul 29, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 1
Hartberg
2-2
Austria Lustenau
Diakite (21'), Entrup (48')
Prokop (56'), Diakite (68'), Heil (68'), Kainz (85')
Sangare (74')
Fridrikas (54', 70')
Tiefenbach (36'), dos Santos Gomes (56'), Maak (85')