Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.