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Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 25, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Gernot Langes Stadion

Swarovski
0 - 2
Sturm Graz

FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between WSG Swarovski Tirol and Sturm Graz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsberger 4-1 Swarovski
Saturday, February 17 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 0-1 Sturm Graz
Thursday, February 22 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for WSG Swarovski Tirol had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest WSG Swarovski Tirol win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
WSG Swarovski TirolDrawSturm Graz
27.77% (0.372 0.37) 25.09% (0.135 0.14) 47.14% (-0.504 -0.5)
Both teams to score 53.92% (-0.151 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (-0.329 -0.33)49.09% (0.331 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (-0.298 -0.3)71.16% (0.3 0.3)
WSG Swarovski Tirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (0.113 0.11)31.87% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.68% (0.125 0.13)68.32% (-0.12400000000001 -0.12)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (-0.351 -0.35)20.85% (0.353 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.46% (-0.552 -0.55)53.54% (0.555 0.56)
Score Analysis
    WSG Swarovski Tirol 27.77%
    Sturm Graz 47.13%
    Draw 25.09%
WSG Swarovski TirolDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.126 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.81% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 4.35% (0.085 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 27.77%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 10.41% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.17% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 47.13%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 9
Sturm Graz
1-0
Swarovski
Wuthrich (44')
Hierlander (84')

Ertlthaler (57'), Taferner (75'), Ustundag (81'), Gugganig (84'), Kronberger (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS


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