Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Austria Klagenfurt had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Austria Klagenfurt win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.