Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 67.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Austria Klagenfurt had a probability of 14.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for an Austria Klagenfurt win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.