Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Apr 19, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
1 - 0
Rapid Vienna

Biereth (79')
Affengruber (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kerschbaum (77'), Grull (90+3')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Rapid Vienna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Hartberg 1-3 Sturm Graz
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Rapid Vienna

All competitions
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-1 Austria Klagenfurt
Sunday, April 14 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawRapid Vienna
35.93% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)26.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)37.66% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.82% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.04% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.3% (0.0039999999999978 0)73.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)27.82% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)63.42% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Rapid Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (0.036999999999992 0.04)26.81% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (0.048000000000002 0.05)62.11% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 35.93%
    Rapid Vienna 37.66%
    Draw 26.41%
Sturm GrazDrawRapid Vienna
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 35.93%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 9.82% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.46% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 37.66%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna

Sturm Graz
81.8%
Draw
18.2%
Rapid Vienna
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 19
Sturm Graz
1-1
Rapid Vienna
Lavalee (6')
Lavalee (55'), Biereth (64')
Lang (41')
Seidl (80'), Lang (83'), Hofmann (87')
Sep 24, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 8
Rapid Vienna
1-1
Sturm Graz
Schnegg (21' og.)
Hofmann (37'), Kasanwirjo (86')
Prass (25')
Wuthrich (86'), Kiteishvili (90'), Hierlander (90+6')