Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.