Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
May 5, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
1 - 1
Hartberg

Kiteishvili (58')
Gorenc Stankovic (27'), Jatta (57'), Biereth (62'), Jatta (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Entrup (17')
Kainz (33'), Entrup (56')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Hartberg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Last Game: Salzburg 2-2 Sturm Graz
Sunday, April 28 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Hartberg

All competitions
Last Game: Hartberg 3-2 Austria Klagenfurt
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawHartberg
50.73% (0.010000000000005 0.01)23.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)25.35% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.16% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)45.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)68.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.05% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Hartberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.94% (-0.012 -0.01)32.06% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.47% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)68.53% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 50.73%
    Hartberg 25.35%
    Draw 23.91%
Sturm GrazDrawHartberg
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.83% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.35%
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 50.73%
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.91%
0-1 @ 6.6%
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 25.35%

Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Hartberg
1-3
Sturm Graz
Avdijaj (73')
Prokop (48')
Prass (9'), Kiteishvili (63' pen.), Gorenc Stankovic (90')
Mar 10, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 22
Hartberg
1-1
Sturm Graz
Avdijaj (70')
Sallinger (33')
Boving (29')
Schnegg (57'), Lavalee (64'), Johnston (65')
Oct 21, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 11
Sturm Graz
2-1
Hartberg
Jatta (13'), Prass (42')
Ilzer (17'), Kiteishvili (61'), Serrano (90+3')
Lang (4')
Heil (16'), Prokop (72'), Sangare (73'), Kainz (90+3')