Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartberg win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Austria Klagenfurt had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Austria Klagenfurt win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartberg would win this match.