Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Apr 21, 2024 at 4pm UK
Red Bull Arena

Salzburg
4 - 2
Austria Klagenfurt

Sucic (5'), Gluh (34'), Konate (35', 44')
Pavlovic (7'), Simic (40'), Diambou (74')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Irving (31' pen.), Besuschkow (52')
Jaritz (71'), Arweiler (85'), Mahrer (90+4')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Austria Klagenfurt.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LASK 3-1 Salzburg
Friday, April 12 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-1 Austria Klagenfurt
Sunday, April 14 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 73.56%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Austria Klagenfurt had a probability of 10.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for an Austria Klagenfurt win it was 1-2 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.

Result
Red Bull SalzburgDrawAustria Klagenfurt
73.56% (-0.31699999999999 -0.32)16.08% (0.147 0.15)10.36% (0.175 0.18)
Both teams to score 50.96% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.62% (-0.177 -0.18)36.37% (0.181 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.49% (-0.195 -0.2)58.51% (0.198 0.2)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.49% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)8.51% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.53% (-0.279 -0.28)29.47% (0.283 0.28)
Austria Klagenfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.7% (0.205 0.2)44.3% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.63% (0.168 0.17)80.36% (-0.164 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Red Bull Salzburg 73.55%
    Austria Klagenfurt 10.36%
    Draw 16.08%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawAustria Klagenfurt
2-0 @ 11.44% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.4% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.79% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4.72% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.85% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.32% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
6-1 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 73.55%
1-1 @ 7.56% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.77% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 16.08%
1-2 @ 3.08% (0.045 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.07% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.25% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 10.36%

Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 21
Salzburg
1-0
Austria Klagenfurt
Konate (73')
Fernando (68'), Dedic (88'), Konate (90+3')

Gezos (61'), Maglica (62')
Oct 8, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 10
Austria Klagenfurt
2-2
Salzburg
Wimmer (45+1'), Jaritz (74')
Straudi (87')
Simic (7'), Forson (29')
Gourna-Douath (46'), Schlager (70')
Pavlovic (38')