Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Hartberg had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Hartberg win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.