Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.