MX23RW : Saturday, July 20 06:53:35| >> :600:4042007:4042007:
Lyon
Coupe de France | Final
May 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
PSG logo

Lyon
1 - 2
PSG

O'Brien (55')
Caleta-Car (45+2'), Tagliafico (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dembele (22'), Ruiz (34')
Dembele (88')

The Match

Match Report

Kylian Mbappe closes his Paris Saint-Germain chapter with another Coupe de France winners' medal as Luis Enrique's side beat Lyon 2-1 at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coupe de France clash between Lyon and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
37.09% (0.423 0.42) 23.66% (0.055 0.05) 39.25% (-0.48 -0.48)
Both teams to score 62.75% (-0.162 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.81% (-0.229 -0.23)39.19% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.48% (-0.237 -0.24)61.52% (0.234 0.23)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.107 0.11)21.3% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (0.167 0.17)54.24% (-0.169 -0.17)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (-0.318 -0.32)20.26% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39% (-0.511 -0.51)52.6% (0.508 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 37.09%
    Paris Saint-Germain 39.25%
    Draw 23.65%
LyonDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.061 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.67% (0.092 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.16% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 37.09%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 39.25%

How you voted: Lyon vs PSG

Lyon
30.6%
Paris Saint-Germain
69.4%
98
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 30
PSG
4-1
Lyon
Matic (3' og.), Beraldo (6'), Ramos (32', 42')
Nuamah (37')
Sep 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Lyon
1-4
PSG
Tolisso (74' pen.)
Tolisso (3'), Maitland-Niles (58')
Mbappe (4' pen., 45+2'), Hakimi (20'), Asensio (38')
Hernandez (48'), Zaire-Emery (73')
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
PSG
0-1
Lyon
Barcola (56')
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Lyon
0-1
PSG
Messi (5')
Jan 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Lyon
1-1
PSG
Paqueta (7')
Palmieri (84'), Boateng (90')
Kehrer (76')
Verratti (43'), Dagba (59')
rhs 2.0
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