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Ligue 1

Clermont Foot
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
Lyon

Clermont
0 - 1
Lyon


Cham (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mangala (53')
Orban (62'), Mata (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions
Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Clermont
Saturday, May 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 3-4 Lyon
Monday, May 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Clermont win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
ClermontDrawLyon
27.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)23.49% (0.0019999999999989 0)49.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.62% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)42.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.21% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)64.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.72% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)64.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.62% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)17.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.2% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)47.79% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Clermont 27.31%
    Lyon 49.2%
    Draw 23.49%
ClermontDrawLyon
2-1 @ 6.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 6.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 27.31%
1-1 @ 10.89%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.49%
1-2 @ 9.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 8.74%
0-2 @ 7.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 49.2%

How you voted: Clermont vs Lyon

Clermont
12.8%
Draw
10.6%
Lyon
76.6%
47
Head to Head
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Gastien (22'), Ogier (45+2'), Seidu (86'), Gastien (87'), Rashani (90+6'), Diaw (90+7')
> Preview
May 14, 2023 12pm
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Lyon
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Lacazette (22')
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Gameweek 17
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May 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 38
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Bayo (59')
N'Simba (26'), Rashani (90')
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> Preview
Aug 22, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 3
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Dembele (5' pen., 21'), Paqueta (45+1')
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> Preview