Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 53.34%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 23.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lyon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 53.34% ( | 22.72% ( | 23.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.14% ( | 41.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.73% ( | 64.26% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( | 15.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.23% ( | 44.76% ( |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( | 31.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( | 67.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 3-0 @ 5.16% ( 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.61% Total : 53.34% | 1-1 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0-1 @ 5.7% ( 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 23.93% |