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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Strasbourg

Lyon
2 - 1
Strasbourg

Lacazette (39', 90+6' pen.)
Lacazette (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diarra (63')
Vieira (80'), Santos (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Clermont 0-1 Lyon
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 53.34%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 23.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lyon in this match.

Result
LyonDrawStrasbourg
53.34% (0.042000000000002 0.04)22.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)23.93% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 58.1% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.14% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)41.86% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.73% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)64.26% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)15.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.76% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)31.07% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)67.39% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 53.34%
    Strasbourg 23.93%
    Draw 22.72%
LyonDrawStrasbourg
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.0029999999999983 0)
1-0 @ 9.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.16% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 53.34%
1-1 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.88% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.72%
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 23.93%

How you voted: Lyon vs Strasbourg

Lyon
87.2%
Draw
10.6%
Strasbourg
2.1%
47
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Lyon
0-0
Strasbourg
(Aggregate 0-0 | Lyon win 4-3 on penalties)
Caleta-Car (88')
Mwanga (64'), Sissoko (88'), Bellaarouch (90+1')
Aug 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Strasbourg
2-1
Lyon
Bellegarde (63'), Mothiba (75')
Doukoure (8'), Bellegarde (45+6')
Tagliafico (88')
Tolisso (45+5'), Kumbedi (61')
Apr 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Strasbourg
1-2
Lyon
Sanson (15')
Lukeba (32'), Caqueret (36')
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 19
Lyon
1-2
Strasbourg
Lacazette (45+2' pen.)
Aholou (29'), Diallo (32')
Apr 10, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 31
Strasbourg
1-1
Lyon
Sissoko (20')
Aholou (68'), Ajorque (90+1'), Sissoko (90+1')
Toko Ekambi (90')
Dubois (90+1')