Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
2 - 1
Metz

Emegha (89'), Santos (90+1')
Santos (90+3'), Bellaarouch (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mikautadze (54')
Sane (11'), Cande (84')

The Match

Match Report

Clermont are relegated from Ligue 1 owing to a 1-0 home defeat to Lyon, but Metz's loss to Strasbourg keeps Lorient alive.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Metz 2-3 Rennes
Saturday, May 4 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Metz
42.91% ( 0.15)	25.6% ( 0.02)	31.49% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 54.44% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.6% (

-0.15)

49.4% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.56% (

-0.14)

71.44% (

0.14)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09% (

0.01)

22.91% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.32% (

0.01)

56.68% (

-0)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.63% (

-0.19)

29.38% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.64% (

-0.23)

65.36% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 42.91%

Metz 31.49%

Draw 25.59%

Strasbourg	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.91%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.49%